July 2025

Back to a normal industrial market?

Back to a normal industrial market?

From “Back to a normal industrial market? That’s what NAI Hiffman report says is happening in Chicago” – RE Journals

More of a normal market? That’s what NAI Hiffman says the Chicago industrial market continues to see in 2025.

NAI Hiffman recently published its second quarter 2025 Chicago Industrial Market Report for metropolitan Chicago. This report showed a market that while not booming is still seeing steady absorption and demand.

Year-to-date, the Chicago market has recorded almost 23.1 million square feet of new industrial leasing volume. This is a solid number, but is, of course, much lower than the 81.1 million square feet of industrial leasing activity in 2021.

Just don’t expect the absorption and development numbers that the Chicago-area industrial market saw during the record-setting year of 2021. Those days are gone, and today’s Chicago industrial market has reverted back to more of a normal pace of activity.

According to NAI Hiffman’s report, the Chicago-area industrial market saw more than 1 million square feet of positive net absorption during the second quarter. That’s a dip from the 2.3 million square feet of positive absorption in the first quarter. Year-to-date, though, the Chicago-area industrial market recorded 3.3 million square feet of positive net absorption during the first half of 2025.

That figure remains consistent with the first half of 2024, when the market saw 3.4 million square feet of positive net absorption.

Despite the steady absorption numbers, the vacancy rate for the Chicago industrial market inched up to an overall 6.4%. That’s a small jump from the overall vacancy rate of 6.1% in the first quarter of this year. NAI Hiffman pointed to large tenant relocations and the delivery of new speculative buildings as the reason for this increase.

The second quarter’s industrial vacancy rate was up from 5.8% in the second quarter of 2024, NAI Hiffman reported.

Leasing activity wasn’t in boom mode, but it was steady. NAI Hiffman reported that the Chicago-area industrial market recorded 12.1 million square feet of new leasing activity during the second quarter of the year. That is an increase from the nearly 11 million square feet registered in the first quarter of 2025.

Year-to-date, the Chicago market has recorded almost 23.1 million square feet of new industrial leasing volume. This is a solid number, but is, of course, much lower than the 81.1 million square feet of industrial leasing activity in 2021.

The Interstate-80/Joliet Corridor submarket outpaced all others during the second quarter with 3.9 million square feet of new industrial leasing activity. This was highlighted by RJW Logistics’ lease of 1.1 million square feet at NorthPoint Development’s Third Coast Intermodal Hub at 201 W. Compass Blvd. in Joliet.

In an interesting shift, for the first time since the first quarter of 2024, speculative industrial construction in the Chicago market outpaced build-to-suit development in the second quarter. Out of a total of 11.4 million square feet of Chicago-area industrial space under construction, speculative construction accounted for 5.7 million square feet, or 50.5% of all industrial properties being built. Build-to-suit amounted for 5.6 million square feet of new industrial construction in the market during the second quarter.

NAI Hiffman reported that 45.4 million square feet of speculative industrial inventory has been built in the Chicago market since the start of 2023. Of that space, 23.4 million square feet, or 51.5%, has been leased.

The NAI Hiffman Q2 2025 Industrial Market Report is available for download by clicking this link.


About NAI Hiffman:

NAI Hiffman is one of the largest independent commercial real estate services firms in the US, with a primary focus on metropolitan Chicago, and part of the NAI Global network. We provide institutional and private leasing, tenant representation, capital markets, project services, research, and marketing services for owners and occupiers of commercial real estate. To meet our clients’ growing needs outside of our exclusive NAI Hiffman territory, we launched Hiffman National, our dedicated property management division, which provides facility management, accounting, lease administration, lender services and project services across the country. NAI Hiffman | Hiffman National is an award winning company headquartered in suburban Chicago, with more than 275 employees strategically located throughout North America.

About Hiffman National:

Hiffman National is one of the US’s largest independent commercial real estate property management firms, providing institutional and private clients exceptional customized solutions for property management, project management, property accounting, lease administration, marketing, and research. The firm’s comprehensive property management platform and attentive approach to service contribute to successful life-long relationships and client satisfaction. As a nationally bestowed Top Workplace, and recognized CRE award winner, Hiffman National is headquartered in suburban Chicago, with more than 275 employees nationally and an additional six hub locations and 25 satellite offices across North America.

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